Pengaruh Rata Rata Lama Sekolah Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Provinsi Sumatera Utara: Penelitian

Zackya Hayati Lubis; Laurent Damai Yanti Silaban; Claudia Tabitha Panjaitan; Olivia Damayanti Marpaung

doi:10.31004/jerkin.v4i1.2840

Authors

Zackya Hayati Lubis Universitas Negeri Medan
Laurent Damai Yanti Silaban Universitas Negeri Medan
Claudia Tabitha Panjaitan Universitas Negeri Medan
Olivia Damayanti Marpaung Universitas Negeri Medan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31004/jerkin.v4i1.2840

Keywords:

Economic Growth, Average Years of Schooling, Education, North Sumatra

Abstract

This study analyzes the effect of average years of schooling (ALS) on economic growth in North Sumatra Province for the period 2009–2024. Education is believed to improve human resource quality and productivity, but although ALS increased from 8.29 years (2009) to 9.93 years (2024), economic growth actually fluctuated and contracted in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The method used was simple linear regression with the EViews 10 application using secondary data from BPS. The dependent variable was economic growth (Y) based on a constant GRDP rate, while the independent variable was ALS (X). The results showed that ALS had no significant effect on economic growth, with a regression coefficient of -15.68645 and a probability of 0.0706. The R² value of 0.214793 indicated that only 21.47% of the variation in economic growth was explained by ALS, the remaining 78.53% was influenced by other factors. This finding confirms that increasing RLS is not enough to drive economic growth, so education policies need to be accompanied by job creation, improving the quality of learning, and workforce absorption.

References

Abdul Ghoni Paturohman, N. (2022). Jurnal Impresi Indonesia ( JII ). Jurnal Impresi Indonesia, 1(1), 1–6. https://doi.org/10.36418/jii.v1i3.29.Cass

Adriani, E. (2019). Pengukuran Modal Manusia (Suatu Studi Literatur). J-MAS (Jurnal Manajemen Dan Sains), 4(1), 176. https://doi.org/10.33087/jmas.v4i1.86

Ardiyanti, L., Ahidiyah, S., Mardani, M., Danuari Fitrio, B., & Nuryaman, A. (2024). Model Matematika Optimalisasi Keuntungan Penjualan: Regresi Linear Berganda. MATHunesa: Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, 12(3), 662–670. https://doi.org/10.26740/mathunesa.v12n3.p662-670

Becker, G. S. (1993). Human Capital: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis, with Special Reference to Education (3rd ed.). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Boediono. (1985). Teori Pertumbuhan Ekonomi. Yogyakarta: BPFE.

Handayani, N. S., Bendesa, I. K., & Yuliarni, N. N. (2016). (2016). Penngaruh Jumlah Penduduk, Angka Harapan Hidup, Rata-Rata Lama Sekolah dan PDRB Per Kapita Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Provinsi Bali. E-Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Universitas Udayana, 5(10), 3449–3474., 10, 3449–3474.

Huda, N., & Indahsari, K. (2021). Pengaruh Rata-Rata Lama Sekolah, Angka Harapan Hidup Dan Pengeluaran Perkapita Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Provinsi Jawa Timur Tahun 2014-2018. Buletin Ekonomika Pembangunan, 2(1), 55–66. https://doi.org/10.21107/bep.v2i1.13849

Keynes, J. M. (1936). The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money. London: Macmillan.

Kumayas, D. D., Kawung, G. M. ., & Rorong, I. P. F. (2024). Pengaruh Jumlah Penduduk, Rata-Rata Lama Sekolah dan Tingkat Partisipasi Angkatan Kerja terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Sulawesi Utara. Jurnal Berkala Ilmiah Efisiensi, 24(5), 133–144. https://ejournal.unsrat.ac.id/

Padilah, T. N., & Adam, R. I. (2019). Analisis Regresi Linier Sederhana. FIBONACCI: Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika Dan Matematika, 5(2), 117.

Ramiayu, D. D. (2023). Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka. Analisis Pengaruh Rata-Rata Lama Sekolah, Upah Minimum, Dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka Kabupaten/Kota Jawa Timur, bps.go.id. www.bps.go.id

Ricardo, D. (1817). On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxation. London: John Murray.

Sabrina, F. A., Nandita, W. V., & Maharani, D. D. (2023). Uji Asumsi Klasik untuk Menghindari Pelanggaran Asumsi Klasik pada Regresi Linier Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) dalam Ekonometrika. Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi, 1(1), 195–203. https://doi.org/10.62017/jimea

Smith, A. (1776). An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations. London: W. Strahan and T. Cadell.

Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65–94. https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513

Swan, T. W. (1956). Economic growth and capital accumulation. Economic Record, 32(2), 334–361. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4932.1956.tb00434.x

Swastika, S. U., & Arifin, Z. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Rata-Rata Lama Sekolah, Umur Harapan Hidup Saat Lahir, dan Pengeluaran Perkapita terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi DKI Jakarta. Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi JIE, 7(03), 449–464. https://doi.org/10.22219/jie.v7i03.28113

Todaro, M. P., & Smith, S. C. (2011). Economic Development (11th ed.). Boston: Addison-Wesley.